Publications:
(URLS are being validated before being made active. Many of these URLs were originally published many years ago).
Books:
Kavanagh, S., & Williams, D. (2016). Informed Decision-Making through Forecasting: A Practitioners Guide to Government Revenue Analysis for Planning and Budgeting.. Chicago: Government Finance Officers Association. www.gfoa.org/forecastbook
Chen, G., Weikart, L., & Williams, D. (2014). Budget Tools: Financial Methods in the Public Sector. (Second ed., pp. xxii, 358). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage-CQ. https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/budget-tools/book239707
Chen, G., Forsythe, D. W., Weikart, L., & Williams, D. (2008). Budget Tools: Financial Methods in the Public Sector. (pp. xi, 275). Washington, D. C.
Articles:
Wu, Y., & Williams, D. (2017). The Determinants of Success in Local Earmarking: The Case of New York City Council Discretionary Expense Funds. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 29(3), 319-345. https://is.gd/fESMVO
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2017). Building and Maintaining Solid Infrastructure in the Town of Gilbert. National Civic Review, 106(2),18-24. https://doi.org/10.1002/ncr.21317
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2017). The City of Boulder and Recreational Marijuana: Forecasting Under Extreme Uncertainty. National Civic Review, 106(2), 10-17. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ncr.21316/full
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2016). Turning Around the City of Baltimore with Long-Term Forecasting and Scenario Analysis. National Civic Review, 105(4), 33-39. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ncr.21295/full
Williams, D., & Kavanagh, S. (2016). Local Government Revenue Forecast Methods: Competition and Comparison. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 28(4), 488-526. pracademics.com/index.php/jpbafm/306-jpbafm-years/jpbafm-2016/volume-28-number-4-winter-2016/1311-local-government-revenue-forecasting-methods-competition-and-comparison-2
Williams, D., & Calabrese, T. (2016). The Status of Budget Forecasting. Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs, 2(2), 127-160. www.jpna.org/index.php/jpna/article/view/96
Wu, Y., & Williams, D. (2015). State Legislative Earmarks: Counterparts of Congressional Earmarks? State and Local Government Review, 47(2), 83-91. slg.sagepub.com/cgi/reprint/0160323X15581056v1.pdf?ijkey=TApFH6dPJmV2Xa4&keytype=finite
Bianchi, C., & Williams, D. (2015). Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Dealing with Behavioral Distortions Associated to City’s Performance Measurement Programs. Public Performance and Management Review, 38(3), 395-425. www.tandfonline.com/eprint/GsHBWtv4pWynfr6jw9PW/full
Kavanagh, S., & Williams, D. (2014). Making the Best Use of Judgmental Forecasting. Government Finance Review, 30(6), 9-16. www.gfoa.org/making-best-use-judgmental-forecasting
Williams, D. (2014). The Evolution of the Performance Model from Black Box to the Logic Model through Systems Thinking. International Journal of Public Administration, 37(13), 932-944. www.tandfonline.com/eprint/zjUGvP5779Dptyiv8PTB/full
Williams, D., & Onochie, J. (2013). The Rube Goldberg Machine of Budget Implementation, or Is There a Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?". Public Budgeting & Finance, 33(4), 1-22. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2013.12021.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2012). The Politics of Forecast Bias: Forecaster Effect and Other Effects in New York City Revenue Forecasting. Public Budgeting & Finance, 32(4), 1-18. onlinelibrary.wiley.com.doi/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2012.01021.x/abstract
Capone, D., & Williams, D. (2011). The History of Evaluation through Regulatory Impact Analysis: a Path from Accounting to Accountability. Journal of International Business, 3(1), 23-57. www.benedictine.edu/journal-international-business-vol-3-spring-2011-issue-1
Ormsby, R., & Williams, D. (2010). Information Literacy in Public Affairs Curriculum. Journal of Public Affairs Education, 16(2), 279-306. www.naspaa.org/JPAEMessenger/Article/VOL16-2/16no2_10_OrmsWill.pdf
Williams, D., & Lee, M. (2008). Déjà Vu All Over Again: Contemporary Traces of the Early 1900s’ the 'Budget Exhibit'. American Review of Public Administration, 38(2), 203-224. http://arp.sagepub.com/content/38/2/203.short
Chen, G., & Williams, D. (2007). How Political Support Influences Red Tape through Developmental Culture. Policy Studies Journal, 45(3), 419-436. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1541-0072.2007.00231.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2007). Seasonality: Shrinkage Procedures for Small Samples. Foresight(6), 21 – 23. econpapers.repec.org/article/forijafaa/y_3a2007_3ai_3a6_3ap_3a21-23.htm
Weikart, L., Chen, G., Williams, D., & Hromic, H. (2007). The Democratic Sex: Gender Differences and the Exercise of Power. Journal of Women, Politics, and Policy, 28(1), 119-140. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1300/J501v28n01_06
Miller, D. M., & Williams, D. (2004). Damping Seasonal Factors: Shrinkage Estimators for the X-12-ARIMA Program. International Journal of Forecasting, 20(4), 529-549. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207004000354
Williams, D. (2004). Evolution of Performance Measurement to 1930. Administration & Society, 36(2), 131-165. aas.sagepub.com/content/36/2/131.short
Williams, D. (2003). Measuring Government in the Early Twentieth Century. Public Administration Review, 63(6), 643-659. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1540-6210.00329/abstract
Miller, D., & Williams, D. (2003). Shrinkage Estimators of Time Series Seasonal Factors and Their Effect on Forecasting Accuracy. International Journal of Forecasting, 19(4), 669-684. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207002000778
Williams, D. (2002). Before Performance Measurement. Administrative Theory & Praxis, 24(6), 457-486. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10841806.2002.11029377#abstract
Whicker, M. L., de L. Julnes, P., & Williams, D. (2001). Making Tax Policy: A Variance Ratio Approach To Measuring Tax Incidence. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 13(1), 83-102. connection.ebscohost.com/c/articles/4051391/making-tax-policy-variance-ratio-approach-measuring-tax-incidence
Williams, D. (2000). Reinventing the Proverbs of Government. Public Administration Review, 60(6), 522-534. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/0033-3352.00115/abstract
Williams, D., & Miller, D. (1999). Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing for Modeling Planned Discontinuities. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(3), 272-290. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207098000831
Williams, D., & Wooldridge, B. (1999). Criteria for Evaluating Revenue Options: A Comprehensive View. International Journal of Public Administration, 22(11-12), 1507-1533. ww.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01900699908525439
Proceedings:
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Presenter & Author), International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, Rotterdam, Netherlands, "State Revenue Forecasting Accuracy", Conference, International, published in proceedings, Accepted. (July 1, 2014).
Williams, D., AIDEA 2013, Academia Italiana Di Economia Aziendale, Lecce, Italy, "On the emerging change patterns underlying the move from Mechanistic to Logic/Systems Models of Performance in the Public Sector", Conference, International, Refereed, published in proceedings, Accepted. (September 20, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Author Only), Forum for Economists International, Forum for Economists International, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Toward a metatheory of budgeting", Conference, International, published in proceedings, Accepted. (September 24, 2011).
Williams, D., Miller, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, New York, New York, "A Dynamic-Trend Exponential Smoothing Model/Return To Trend", International, published in proceedings. (June 27, 2007).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, European Group on Public Administration, Ljubljana University, Ljubljana, Slovenia, "Performance measurement and performance budgeting in the United States in the 1950s and 1960s", International, published in proceedings. (September 4, 2004).
Williams, D., Public Management Research Conference, National Public Management, Washington, D. C., "The Role of Performance Measurement in the Public Administration Discipline: Then and Now", National, published in proceedings. (October 10, 2003).
Miller, D. M., Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting ( ISF 2003), International Institute of Forecasters, Yucatan, Mexico, "Shrinkage Estimators for Damping X12-ARIMA Seasonals", Conference, International, published in proceedings, published elsewhere. (June 19, 2003).
Miller, D., Williams, D., Proceedings, Decision Sciences Institute, ’99 Athens Volume I, edited by Dimitris K. Despotis and Constantin Zopounidis, "Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing: A Method For Judgmentally Adjusting Exponential Smoothing Models for Planned Discontinuities", International, Refereed, published in proceedings. (July 7, 1999).
Williams, D., Ninth Conference, Federal Forecasters, Washington, DC, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", National, published in proceedings. (September 11, 1997).
Williams, D., Tenth National Conference: The Emerging Theory Stream: Discussing the Undiscussable, Public Administration Theory Network, Richmond, VA, "Rationalism in Normative Budget Theory", National, published in proceedings. (March 10, 1997).
Chapters in Books & Encyclopedia Entries:
Chen, G., Williams, D., & Adrian, T. P. (2015). Life Cycle Costing. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1421-1423). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Seasonality. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1434-1444). Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Finer, Herman. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1479-1480). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Friedrich, Carl. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1536-1537). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Performance Measurement in the United States, History of. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 2406-2409). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2008). Preparing Data for Forecasting. In J. Sun & T. D. Lynch (Eds.), Government Budget Forecasting Theory and Practice (pp. 346 – 376). dx.doi.org/10.1201/9781420045833.ch15
Chen, G., Williams, D., & Adrian, T. P. (2007). Life Cycle Costing. In J. Rabin & T. A. Wachhaus (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (2nd ed., pp. 1164 - 1167). Boca Raton, FL:. dx.doi.org/10.1201/NOE1420052756.ch230
Williams, D. (2007). Seasonality. In J. Rabin & T. A. Wachhaus (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (2nd ed., pp. 1746-1756). dx.doi.org/10.1201/NOE1420052756.ch357
Williams, D. (2007). Forecasting Methods for Serial Data. In G. Miller & K. Yang (Eds.), The Handbook of Research Methods in Public Administration (2nd ed., pp. 595-665, Chapter 33). dx.doi.org/10.1201/9781420013276.ch33
Williams, D. & Schwartz. R. (Eds.) (2007). Accountability Cases. Washington, DC: American Society for Public Administration. www.aspanet.org/scriptcontent/ac.cfm
Ryan, S., & Williams, D. (2007). The New York Police Officer: Democratic and Moral Accountability In Conflict. In D. Williams & R. Schwartz (Eds.), Accountability Cases (pp. 1-26). Washington, DC: American Society for Public Administration. tinyurl.com/pzqtfbl
Williams, D. (1998). Forecasting Methods for Serial Data. In G. Miller & M. L. Whicker (Eds.), The Handbook of Research Methods in Public Administration (pp. 301-352). New York,NY: Marcel Dekker.
Government Reports or Monographs:
Williams, D., Kelly, J., Krieger, S., & Butler, S. (2015). Report of the Baruch College – CUNY Study for New York City Council Concerning Results and Accountability of the Dropout Prevention Initiative and the Small Business Initiative.. New York City Council.
Williams, D., & Blackmon, L. (1997). Report Concerning Medicaid Reimbursement for Non-Emergency Transportation Services for the Virginia Department of Medical Assistance Services.. State of Virginia.
Williams, D., & Blackmon, L. (1997). Report Concerning Medicaid Reimbursement for Ambulance Services for the Virginia Department of Medical Assistance Services.. State of Virginia.
Book Reviews:
Williams, D. (2011). Answers in Search of a Question. [Review of the Book Performance-Based Management Systems: Effective Implementation and Maintenance/ Performance Information in the Public Sector: How it is Used by Patria de Lancer Julnes (editor)/Wouter Van Dooren, Steven Van de Walle and IIAS (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 71(1), 141-143. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2010.02322.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2009). Your Money or Your Life. [Review of the Book Public Budgeting: Policy, Process and Politics (ASPA Classics) and Performance Management/ Budgeting: How Governments Can Learn from Experience by Irene Rubin (editor)/F. Stevens Redburn; Robert J. Shea; Terry F. Buss (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 69(2), 361-363. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2008.01984.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2009). What's the Matter with Political Science? [Review of the Book Making Social Science Matter/ Making Political Science Matter by Bent Flyvbjerg / Sanford Schram and Brian Caterino (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 69(1), 140-143. dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2008.01951.x
Williams, D. (2008). Book Review. [Review of the Book Ethics and New Public Administration: Empirical Research into the Effects of Businesslike Government on Ethics and Integrity by Emile Kolthoff]. Public Integrity, 10(3), 294-295. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.2753/PIN1099-9922100306#.VdDivpeM73Y
Williams, D. (2007). Book Review. [Review of the Book The Ethics Edge Second Edition by Jonathan P. West and Evan M. Berman (Eds.)]. Public Integrity, 9(3), 301-303. tinyurl.com/ochgq5d
Williams, D. (2006). The Old World. [Review of the Book IIAS/IISA Administration and Service 1930-2005 by Fabbio Rugge and Michael Duggett (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 66(6), 933-934.. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2006.00707.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2006). In the Beginning. [Review of the Book Politics and progress: the emergence of American political science, and Thomas L. Haskell, The emergence of professional social science The American Social Science Association and the nineteenth-century crisis of authority by Dennis J. Mahoney]. Public Administration Review, 66(2), 289-291. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2006.00583.x/abstract
Other Publications:
Williams, D. (2016). Looking Back to Move Forward. [Review of the Article Colluding to Create The American Society for Public Administration and the Consequent Collateral Damage by Mordecai Lee]. Public Voices, XIV(2), 3. spaa.newark.rutgers.edu/public-voices
Williams, D. (2015). The Bureau of Municipal Besmirch: A Tale of Accountability and Resentment. (pp. 800 words). New York City: Gotham is a blog for independent and professional scholars of New York City history. https://www.gothamcenter.org/blog/the-bureau-of-municipal-besmirch-a-tale-of-accountability-and-resentment
Williams, D., & Wu, Y. (2015). In the New York state legislature patronage earmarking is alive and well. (pp. 900 words). The LSE’s daily blog on American Politics and Policy USAPP. bit.ly/1Kk9zTb
Williams, D. (2008). The Mystery of the Disappearing Public Administrators. (1st ed., vol. 31, pp. P. 22). PA Times. http://connection.ebscohost.com/c/editorials/28457692/mystery-disappearing-public-administrators
Williams, D. (2006). Why fuss over religious solicitation? (vol. 8, pp. 15-18). Ethics Today. www.aspaonline.org/ethicscommunity/documents/EthicsTodayVol8No3Spring.pdf
Williams, D. (2005). Ethics and Public Administration. New York Metropolitan Chapter in ASPA News.
Williams, D., & Miller, D. (2004). Damped seasonal adjustment.. forprin_old.dev.zoe.co.nz/software.html
Williams, D. (2003). Shrinkage Estimators for Damping X12-ARIMA Seasonals.. Principles of Forecasting. forecastingprinciples.com/files/pdf/Miller_damped_sea_05-23.pdf
Williams, D. (2002). ethics or Ethics. (vol. 4). Ethics Today. tinyurl.com/q236mac
Books:
Kavanagh, S., & Williams, D. (2016). Informed Decision-Making through Forecasting: A Practitioners Guide to Government Revenue Analysis for Planning and Budgeting.. Chicago: Government Finance Officers Association. www.gfoa.org/forecastbook
Chen, G., Weikart, L., & Williams, D. (2014). Budget Tools: Financial Methods in the Public Sector. (Second ed., pp. xxii, 358). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage-CQ. https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/budget-tools/book239707
Chen, G., Forsythe, D. W., Weikart, L., & Williams, D. (2008). Budget Tools: Financial Methods in the Public Sector. (pp. xi, 275). Washington, D. C.
Articles:
Wu, Y., & Williams, D. (2017). The Determinants of Success in Local Earmarking: The Case of New York City Council Discretionary Expense Funds. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 29(3), 319-345. https://is.gd/fESMVO
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2017). Building and Maintaining Solid Infrastructure in the Town of Gilbert. National Civic Review, 106(2),18-24. https://doi.org/10.1002/ncr.21317
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2017). The City of Boulder and Recreational Marijuana: Forecasting Under Extreme Uncertainty. National Civic Review, 106(2), 10-17. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ncr.21316/full
Kavanagh, S. C., & Williams, D. (2016). Turning Around the City of Baltimore with Long-Term Forecasting and Scenario Analysis. National Civic Review, 105(4), 33-39. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ncr.21295/full
Williams, D., & Kavanagh, S. (2016). Local Government Revenue Forecast Methods: Competition and Comparison. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 28(4), 488-526. pracademics.com/index.php/jpbafm/306-jpbafm-years/jpbafm-2016/volume-28-number-4-winter-2016/1311-local-government-revenue-forecasting-methods-competition-and-comparison-2
Williams, D., & Calabrese, T. (2016). The Status of Budget Forecasting. Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs, 2(2), 127-160. www.jpna.org/index.php/jpna/article/view/96
Wu, Y., & Williams, D. (2015). State Legislative Earmarks: Counterparts of Congressional Earmarks? State and Local Government Review, 47(2), 83-91. slg.sagepub.com/cgi/reprint/0160323X15581056v1.pdf?ijkey=TApFH6dPJmV2Xa4&keytype=finite
Bianchi, C., & Williams, D. (2015). Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Dealing with Behavioral Distortions Associated to City’s Performance Measurement Programs. Public Performance and Management Review, 38(3), 395-425. www.tandfonline.com/eprint/GsHBWtv4pWynfr6jw9PW/full
Kavanagh, S., & Williams, D. (2014). Making the Best Use of Judgmental Forecasting. Government Finance Review, 30(6), 9-16. www.gfoa.org/making-best-use-judgmental-forecasting
Williams, D. (2014). The Evolution of the Performance Model from Black Box to the Logic Model through Systems Thinking. International Journal of Public Administration, 37(13), 932-944. www.tandfonline.com/eprint/zjUGvP5779Dptyiv8PTB/full
Williams, D., & Onochie, J. (2013). The Rube Goldberg Machine of Budget Implementation, or Is There a Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?". Public Budgeting & Finance, 33(4), 1-22. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2013.12021.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2012). The Politics of Forecast Bias: Forecaster Effect and Other Effects in New York City Revenue Forecasting. Public Budgeting & Finance, 32(4), 1-18. onlinelibrary.wiley.com.doi/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2012.01021.x/abstract
Capone, D., & Williams, D. (2011). The History of Evaluation through Regulatory Impact Analysis: a Path from Accounting to Accountability. Journal of International Business, 3(1), 23-57. www.benedictine.edu/journal-international-business-vol-3-spring-2011-issue-1
Ormsby, R., & Williams, D. (2010). Information Literacy in Public Affairs Curriculum. Journal of Public Affairs Education, 16(2), 279-306. www.naspaa.org/JPAEMessenger/Article/VOL16-2/16no2_10_OrmsWill.pdf
Williams, D., & Lee, M. (2008). Déjà Vu All Over Again: Contemporary Traces of the Early 1900s’ the 'Budget Exhibit'. American Review of Public Administration, 38(2), 203-224. http://arp.sagepub.com/content/38/2/203.short
Chen, G., & Williams, D. (2007). How Political Support Influences Red Tape through Developmental Culture. Policy Studies Journal, 45(3), 419-436. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1541-0072.2007.00231.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2007). Seasonality: Shrinkage Procedures for Small Samples. Foresight(6), 21 – 23. econpapers.repec.org/article/forijafaa/y_3a2007_3ai_3a6_3ap_3a21-23.htm
Weikart, L., Chen, G., Williams, D., & Hromic, H. (2007). The Democratic Sex: Gender Differences and the Exercise of Power. Journal of Women, Politics, and Policy, 28(1), 119-140. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1300/J501v28n01_06
Miller, D. M., & Williams, D. (2004). Damping Seasonal Factors: Shrinkage Estimators for the X-12-ARIMA Program. International Journal of Forecasting, 20(4), 529-549. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207004000354
Williams, D. (2004). Evolution of Performance Measurement to 1930. Administration & Society, 36(2), 131-165. aas.sagepub.com/content/36/2/131.short
Williams, D. (2003). Measuring Government in the Early Twentieth Century. Public Administration Review, 63(6), 643-659. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1540-6210.00329/abstract
Miller, D., & Williams, D. (2003). Shrinkage Estimators of Time Series Seasonal Factors and Their Effect on Forecasting Accuracy. International Journal of Forecasting, 19(4), 669-684. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207002000778
Williams, D. (2002). Before Performance Measurement. Administrative Theory & Praxis, 24(6), 457-486. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10841806.2002.11029377#abstract
Whicker, M. L., de L. Julnes, P., & Williams, D. (2001). Making Tax Policy: A Variance Ratio Approach To Measuring Tax Incidence. Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting, and Financial Management, 13(1), 83-102. connection.ebscohost.com/c/articles/4051391/making-tax-policy-variance-ratio-approach-measuring-tax-incidence
Williams, D. (2000). Reinventing the Proverbs of Government. Public Administration Review, 60(6), 522-534. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/0033-3352.00115/abstract
Williams, D., & Miller, D. (1999). Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing for Modeling Planned Discontinuities. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(3), 272-290. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207098000831
Williams, D., & Wooldridge, B. (1999). Criteria for Evaluating Revenue Options: A Comprehensive View. International Journal of Public Administration, 22(11-12), 1507-1533. ww.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01900699908525439
Proceedings:
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Presenter & Author), International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, Rotterdam, Netherlands, "State Revenue Forecasting Accuracy", Conference, International, published in proceedings, Accepted. (July 1, 2014).
Williams, D., AIDEA 2013, Academia Italiana Di Economia Aziendale, Lecce, Italy, "On the emerging change patterns underlying the move from Mechanistic to Logic/Systems Models of Performance in the Public Sector", Conference, International, Refereed, published in proceedings, Accepted. (September 20, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Author Only), Forum for Economists International, Forum for Economists International, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Toward a metatheory of budgeting", Conference, International, published in proceedings, Accepted. (September 24, 2011).
Williams, D., Miller, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, New York, New York, "A Dynamic-Trend Exponential Smoothing Model/Return To Trend", International, published in proceedings. (June 27, 2007).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, European Group on Public Administration, Ljubljana University, Ljubljana, Slovenia, "Performance measurement and performance budgeting in the United States in the 1950s and 1960s", International, published in proceedings. (September 4, 2004).
Williams, D., Public Management Research Conference, National Public Management, Washington, D. C., "The Role of Performance Measurement in the Public Administration Discipline: Then and Now", National, published in proceedings. (October 10, 2003).
Miller, D. M., Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting ( ISF 2003), International Institute of Forecasters, Yucatan, Mexico, "Shrinkage Estimators for Damping X12-ARIMA Seasonals", Conference, International, published in proceedings, published elsewhere. (June 19, 2003).
Miller, D., Williams, D., Proceedings, Decision Sciences Institute, ’99 Athens Volume I, edited by Dimitris K. Despotis and Constantin Zopounidis, "Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing: A Method For Judgmentally Adjusting Exponential Smoothing Models for Planned Discontinuities", International, Refereed, published in proceedings. (July 7, 1999).
Williams, D., Ninth Conference, Federal Forecasters, Washington, DC, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", National, published in proceedings. (September 11, 1997).
Williams, D., Tenth National Conference: The Emerging Theory Stream: Discussing the Undiscussable, Public Administration Theory Network, Richmond, VA, "Rationalism in Normative Budget Theory", National, published in proceedings. (March 10, 1997).
Chapters in Books & Encyclopedia Entries:
Chen, G., Williams, D., & Adrian, T. P. (2015). Life Cycle Costing. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1421-1423). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Seasonality. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1434-1444). Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Finer, Herman. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1479-1480). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Friedrich, Carl. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 1536-1537). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2015). Performance Measurement in the United States, History of. In M. Dubnick & D. Bearfield (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (3rd ed., pp. 2406-2409). New York, NY: Taylor & Francis.
Williams, D. (2008). Preparing Data for Forecasting. In J. Sun & T. D. Lynch (Eds.), Government Budget Forecasting Theory and Practice (pp. 346 – 376). dx.doi.org/10.1201/9781420045833.ch15
Chen, G., Williams, D., & Adrian, T. P. (2007). Life Cycle Costing. In J. Rabin & T. A. Wachhaus (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (2nd ed., pp. 1164 - 1167). Boca Raton, FL:. dx.doi.org/10.1201/NOE1420052756.ch230
Williams, D. (2007). Seasonality. In J. Rabin & T. A. Wachhaus (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Administration and Public Policy (2nd ed., pp. 1746-1756). dx.doi.org/10.1201/NOE1420052756.ch357
Williams, D. (2007). Forecasting Methods for Serial Data. In G. Miller & K. Yang (Eds.), The Handbook of Research Methods in Public Administration (2nd ed., pp. 595-665, Chapter 33). dx.doi.org/10.1201/9781420013276.ch33
Williams, D. & Schwartz. R. (Eds.) (2007). Accountability Cases. Washington, DC: American Society for Public Administration. www.aspanet.org/scriptcontent/ac.cfm
Ryan, S., & Williams, D. (2007). The New York Police Officer: Democratic and Moral Accountability In Conflict. In D. Williams & R. Schwartz (Eds.), Accountability Cases (pp. 1-26). Washington, DC: American Society for Public Administration. tinyurl.com/pzqtfbl
Williams, D. (1998). Forecasting Methods for Serial Data. In G. Miller & M. L. Whicker (Eds.), The Handbook of Research Methods in Public Administration (pp. 301-352). New York,NY: Marcel Dekker.
Government Reports or Monographs:
Williams, D., Kelly, J., Krieger, S., & Butler, S. (2015). Report of the Baruch College – CUNY Study for New York City Council Concerning Results and Accountability of the Dropout Prevention Initiative and the Small Business Initiative.. New York City Council.
Williams, D., & Blackmon, L. (1997). Report Concerning Medicaid Reimbursement for Non-Emergency Transportation Services for the Virginia Department of Medical Assistance Services.. State of Virginia.
Williams, D., & Blackmon, L. (1997). Report Concerning Medicaid Reimbursement for Ambulance Services for the Virginia Department of Medical Assistance Services.. State of Virginia.
Book Reviews:
Williams, D. (2011). Answers in Search of a Question. [Review of the Book Performance-Based Management Systems: Effective Implementation and Maintenance/ Performance Information in the Public Sector: How it is Used by Patria de Lancer Julnes (editor)/Wouter Van Dooren, Steven Van de Walle and IIAS (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 71(1), 141-143. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2010.02322.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2009). Your Money or Your Life. [Review of the Book Public Budgeting: Policy, Process and Politics (ASPA Classics) and Performance Management/ Budgeting: How Governments Can Learn from Experience by Irene Rubin (editor)/F. Stevens Redburn; Robert J. Shea; Terry F. Buss (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 69(2), 361-363. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2008.01984.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2009). What's the Matter with Political Science? [Review of the Book Making Social Science Matter/ Making Political Science Matter by Bent Flyvbjerg / Sanford Schram and Brian Caterino (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 69(1), 140-143. dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2008.01951.x
Williams, D. (2008). Book Review. [Review of the Book Ethics and New Public Administration: Empirical Research into the Effects of Businesslike Government on Ethics and Integrity by Emile Kolthoff]. Public Integrity, 10(3), 294-295. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.2753/PIN1099-9922100306#.VdDivpeM73Y
Williams, D. (2007). Book Review. [Review of the Book The Ethics Edge Second Edition by Jonathan P. West and Evan M. Berman (Eds.)]. Public Integrity, 9(3), 301-303. tinyurl.com/ochgq5d
Williams, D. (2006). The Old World. [Review of the Book IIAS/IISA Administration and Service 1930-2005 by Fabbio Rugge and Michael Duggett (editors)]. Public Administration Review, 66(6), 933-934.. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2006.00707.x/abstract
Williams, D. (2006). In the Beginning. [Review of the Book Politics and progress: the emergence of American political science, and Thomas L. Haskell, The emergence of professional social science The American Social Science Association and the nineteenth-century crisis of authority by Dennis J. Mahoney]. Public Administration Review, 66(2), 289-291. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2006.00583.x/abstract
Other Publications:
Williams, D. (2016). Looking Back to Move Forward. [Review of the Article Colluding to Create The American Society for Public Administration and the Consequent Collateral Damage by Mordecai Lee]. Public Voices, XIV(2), 3. spaa.newark.rutgers.edu/public-voices
Williams, D. (2015). The Bureau of Municipal Besmirch: A Tale of Accountability and Resentment. (pp. 800 words). New York City: Gotham is a blog for independent and professional scholars of New York City history. https://www.gothamcenter.org/blog/the-bureau-of-municipal-besmirch-a-tale-of-accountability-and-resentment
Williams, D., & Wu, Y. (2015). In the New York state legislature patronage earmarking is alive and well. (pp. 900 words). The LSE’s daily blog on American Politics and Policy USAPP. bit.ly/1Kk9zTb
Williams, D. (2008). The Mystery of the Disappearing Public Administrators. (1st ed., vol. 31, pp. P. 22). PA Times. http://connection.ebscohost.com/c/editorials/28457692/mystery-disappearing-public-administrators
Williams, D. (2006). Why fuss over religious solicitation? (vol. 8, pp. 15-18). Ethics Today. www.aspaonline.org/ethicscommunity/documents/EthicsTodayVol8No3Spring.pdf
Williams, D. (2005). Ethics and Public Administration. New York Metropolitan Chapter in ASPA News.
Williams, D., & Miller, D. (2004). Damped seasonal adjustment.. forprin_old.dev.zoe.co.nz/software.html
Williams, D. (2003). Shrinkage Estimators for Damping X12-ARIMA Seasonals.. Principles of Forecasting. forecastingprinciples.com/files/pdf/Miller_damped_sea_05-23.pdf
Williams, D. (2002). ethics or Ethics. (vol. 4). Ethics Today. tinyurl.com/q236mac
Conference Papers
PRESENTED PAPERS:
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Presenter & Author), Gupta, A. (Presenter & Author), Harju, S. (Author Only), ABFM Annual Conference, Association of Budgeting & Financial Management, Washington, "How Does Participatory Budgeting Affect Council Member Priorities?", Conference, International, Accepted. (September 28, 2017).
Williams, D., Calabrese, T., ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Seattle, "The Status of Budget Forecasting", Conference, International. (October 8, 2016).
Chung, I. H., Williams, D., Association of Public Policy Analysis and Management, Miami, FL, "The effect of fiscal monitoring systems: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design". (November 2015).
Chung, I. H., Williams, D., Association of Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington D.C., "The effect of fiscal monitoring systems: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design", Conference. (October 2015).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Kavanagh, S. (Presenter & Author), Sun, H. (Presenter & Author), Association for Budgeting and Financial Management Annual Conference 2015, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "Forecast Effectiveness & Forecast Accuracy", Conference, National. (October 3, 2015).
Williams, D., 2015 Public Financial Management Northeastern Workshop, Manhattan, "A Practical Forecast Competition", Workshop, State. (May 22, 2015).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Author Only), MSPA Annual Conference, Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, "The Allocation of Local Earmarks: The Case of New York City Council Discretionary Expense Grants", Conference, National, Accepted. (April 19, 2015).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting & Financial Management, Grand Rapids, Michigan, "Member Items In New York City", Conference, Accepted. (October 4, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Author Only), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting & Financial Management, Grand Rapids, Michigan, "Revenue Forecasting Accuracy", Conference, Accepted. (October 4, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Waisanen, D. (Author Only), Association for Budgeting and Financial Management conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Grand Rapids, MI, "Budgets on the Web: How Useful are Municipal Government Budget Websites?", Conference, National, Refereed, Accepted. (October 3, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Waisanen, D. (Author Only), Public Financial Management Northeastern Workshop, SUNY Albany & Northeastern budget professors, New York, New York, "Budgets on the Web", Workshop, Regional. (June 13, 2014).
Bianchi, C. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), 27th MIT-UAlbany System Dynamics Colloquium, Rockefeller College of Public Affairs & Policy, University at Albany, Albany, NY, "Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Dealing with Behavioral Distortions Associated to City’s Performance Measurement Programs", Conference, Regional. (November 1, 2013).
Williams, D., The Measured City: Using Data to Improve New York City Government, New York City Office of Operations and New York University, New York University, "Performance Budgeting", Panel, Local, Invited. (October 30, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "Revenue Forecasting Accuracy (Bias in State Revenue Forecasts)", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 4, 2013).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "State and Local Earmarks: Counterpart to congressional Earmarks?", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 3, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Ninth Transatlantic Dialog, American Society for Public Administration / European Group on Public Administration, Baltimore, "A Complete Theory of Performance", Conference, International, Refereed, Accepted. (June 14, 2013).
Bianchi, C. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Author Only), Ninth Transatlantic Dialog, American Society for Public Administration / European Group on Public Administration, Baltimore, "Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Designing and Implementing City’s Performance Management Programs", Conference, International, Refereed, Accepted. (June 14, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), 2013 Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, New Orleans, "Theory of Performance: Logic Models and Necessary and Sufficient Causation", Conference, International, Accepted. (March 15, 2013).
Williams, D., Overdraft University Symposia Series, School of Public Affairs and Traveler's Insurance, Baruch College, Engleman Theater, "Hosting and Question and Answers regarding the Federal Deficit and Debt", Other, Local. (February 21, 2013).
Williams, D. (Moderator), Special Event/ Nonprofit Seminar, Baruch Center for Nonprofit Strategy and Management, Baruch College, "Participatory Budgeting in New York City: First Year Experience and Future Prospects", Other, Local. (October 18, 2012).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J., Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, New York, "Is There A Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 11, 2012).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), New York City Council Committee on Governmental Operations and Committee on Finance, New York City Council, New York, "Testimony on Mayor's Management Report", Other, Local, Invited. (September 27, 2012).
Williams, D., New York City Council Committee on Governmental Operations and Committee on Finance, New York City Council, New York, "Testimony on Mayor's Management Report", Other, Local. (November 14, 2011).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Presenter & Author), 23rd Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Towards a Metatheory of Budgeting", Conference, International, Accepted. (October 14, 2011).
Williams, D., 22nd Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Omaha, Nebraska, "Forecaster Effect in New York City Revenue Forecasting", National. (October 9, 2010).
Williams, D., First Annual North East Budget and Financial Management Conference, Baruch College and NYU, New York, "Forecaster Effect in NYC Forecasting", Regional. (August 4, 2010).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, San Jose, California, "The Role of Political Theory in Public Administration", National. (April 11, 2010).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, San Jose, California, "Disobeying Orders", National. (April 10, 2010).
Williams, D., Symposium on the Legacy and Contemporary Relevance of Luther Gulick and the IPA, NYU Wagner School, New York, "Public Administration: The First Hundred Hears: The IPA Archive as a Resource for Contemporary Researchers", Regional, Invited. (December 4, 2009).
Williams, D., 21st Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Bias in New York City Revenue Forecasting", National. (September 26, 2009).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Miami, FL., "Performance and American Democracy", National. (March 20, 2009).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC., "Performance Budgeting and Performance Contracting", National. (October 27, 2007).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, Western Social Science Association, Calgary, Canada, "History of Performance Budgeting Old and New", International. (April 14, 2007).
Williams, D., 18th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Atlanta, Georgia, "History of Performance Budgeting Old and New", National. (October 21, 2006).
Williams, D., 18th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Atlanta, Georgia, "Preparing Data for Forecasting", National. (October 21, 2006).
Williams, D., 17th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Street Cleanliness Scorecards: A Qualitative Analysis; A Preliminary Report", National. (November 10, 2005).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, San Antonio, Texas, "Exponentially Weighted Loss Functions", International. (June 14, 2005).
Williams, D., Ormsby, R., Integrating Information Literacy & Communication Skills Across the Curriculum, Learning Goals & Assessment, Baruch College, Baruch College, "Information Literacy Incorporated into a Graduate School of Public Affairs Course: PAF 9010 Ethics and Public Service", Local. (March 11, 2005).
Williams, D., Miller, D., 16th National Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Chicago, "Correcting the Overestimation of Seasonality With Two Common Methods", National. (October 9, 2004).
Williams, D., 65th National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Portland, Oregon, "The Role of the ICMA in Promoting Performance Measurement through ‘Standards’: 1927-1956", National. (March 29, 2004).
Williams, D., 15th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, D. C., "Performance Measurement In the Age of Scientific Management", National. (September 18, 2003).
Williams, D., 97th Annual Conference, Government Financial Officers Association, New York, NY., "Ethics for Government Financial Managers", National, Invited. (May 18, 2003).
Williams, D., Fall Conference, Independent School Placement Alliance/ The Boys’ Club of New York City, Jefferson Park Clubhouse, New York, "Program Evaluation", Local. (October 17, 2002).
Williams, D., Ellis, J. C., 5th Annual Statewide Conference, Alzheimer’s Disease for Health Care Professionals, New Jersey, "Beyond Performance Measurement: Evaluating Outcomes in Dementia Care", State. (April 23, 2002).
Williams, D., 13th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, D.C., "Performance Measurement Before 1927", National. (January 18, 2002).
Miller, D., Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, 2001, International Institute of Forecasters, Callaway Gardens, Pine Mountain, Georgia, "Using Shrinkage to Reduce Overestimation of Seasonal Variation in Census X12 ARIMA", International. (June 19, 2001).
Williams, D., 62nd National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Robeson Campus Center, Rutgers, Newark, NJ, "Productivity Initiatives and Performance Measurement in the Early 20th Century: the Intellectual Roots of Modern Public Administration Practice", National. (March 12, 2001).
Williams, D., Thirty-Second Annual Meeting, Northeastern Political Science Association and International Studies Association, Albany, New York, "An examination of variance between uninsured low income children in 1998 and 1999 enrollment in the State Children’s Health Insurance Program", Regional. (November 12, 2000).
Williams, D., Miller, D. M., International Symposium on Forecasting 2000, International Institute of Forecasting, Lisbon, Portugal, "Analysis of Two Forms of Empirical Bayes Estimation to Reduce Overestimation of Seasonal Variation in Classical Decomposition", International. (June 23, 2000).
Williams, D., 54th Annual Conference, New York State Political Science Association, Hofstra University, Hempstead Long Island, "Productivity Initiatives and Performance Measurement in the Early 20th Century: the Intellectual Roots of Modern Public Administration Practice", Regional. (April 15, 2000).
Williams, D., 1999 Northeast Regional Conference, American Society for Public Administration, John Jay College, New York, New York, "History of Performance Measurement 1900-1927", Regional. (October 29, 1999).
Williams, D., Birdsell, D., 1999 Northeast Regional Conference, American Society for Public Administration, "Adapting the MPA Curriculum to E-Government", Regional. (October 28, 1999).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, North East Political Science Association, Philadelphia, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", Regional. (November 15, 1997).
Williams, D., 9th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", National. (November 8, 1997).
Williams, D., 58th National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Philadelphia, PA, "An Historic Review: Performance Measurement in PAR", National. (July 28, 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, Bridgetown, Barbados, "Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing: A Method for Judgmentally Adjusting Exponential Smoothing Models for Planned Discontinuities", International. (June 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, Bridgetown, Barbados, "The Sources of Variation in Medicaid Forecasting", International. (June 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, Toronto, "Adjusting Exponential Smoothing for Intervention", International. (June 5, 1995).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Presenter & Author), Gupta, A. (Presenter & Author), Harju, S. (Author Only), ABFM Annual Conference, Association of Budgeting & Financial Management, Washington, "How Does Participatory Budgeting Affect Council Member Priorities?", Conference, International, Accepted. (September 28, 2017).
Williams, D., Calabrese, T., ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Seattle, "The Status of Budget Forecasting", Conference, International. (October 8, 2016).
Chung, I. H., Williams, D., Association of Public Policy Analysis and Management, Miami, FL, "The effect of fiscal monitoring systems: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design". (November 2015).
Chung, I. H., Williams, D., Association of Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington D.C., "The effect of fiscal monitoring systems: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design", Conference. (October 2015).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Kavanagh, S. (Presenter & Author), Sun, H. (Presenter & Author), Association for Budgeting and Financial Management Annual Conference 2015, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "Forecast Effectiveness & Forecast Accuracy", Conference, National. (October 3, 2015).
Williams, D., 2015 Public Financial Management Northeastern Workshop, Manhattan, "A Practical Forecast Competition", Workshop, State. (May 22, 2015).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Author Only), MSPA Annual Conference, Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, "The Allocation of Local Earmarks: The Case of New York City Council Discretionary Expense Grants", Conference, National, Accepted. (April 19, 2015).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting & Financial Management, Grand Rapids, Michigan, "Member Items In New York City", Conference, Accepted. (October 4, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Author Only), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting & Financial Management, Grand Rapids, Michigan, "Revenue Forecasting Accuracy", Conference, Accepted. (October 4, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Waisanen, D. (Author Only), Association for Budgeting and Financial Management conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Grand Rapids, MI, "Budgets on the Web: How Useful are Municipal Government Budget Websites?", Conference, National, Refereed, Accepted. (October 3, 2014).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Waisanen, D. (Author Only), Public Financial Management Northeastern Workshop, SUNY Albany & Northeastern budget professors, New York, New York, "Budgets on the Web", Workshop, Regional. (June 13, 2014).
Bianchi, C. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), 27th MIT-UAlbany System Dynamics Colloquium, Rockefeller College of Public Affairs & Policy, University at Albany, Albany, NY, "Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Dealing with Behavioral Distortions Associated to City’s Performance Measurement Programs", Conference, Regional. (November 1, 2013).
Williams, D., The Measured City: Using Data to Improve New York City Government, New York City Office of Operations and New York University, New York University, "Performance Budgeting", Panel, Local, Invited. (October 30, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "Revenue Forecasting Accuracy (Bias in State Revenue Forecasts)", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 4, 2013).
Wu, Y. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), ABFM Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington DC, "State and Local Earmarks: Counterpart to congressional Earmarks?", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 3, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Ninth Transatlantic Dialog, American Society for Public Administration / European Group on Public Administration, Baltimore, "A Complete Theory of Performance", Conference, International, Refereed, Accepted. (June 14, 2013).
Bianchi, C. (Presenter & Author), Williams, D. (Author Only), Ninth Transatlantic Dialog, American Society for Public Administration / European Group on Public Administration, Baltimore, "Applying System Dynamics Modeling to Foster a Cause-and-Effect Perspective in Designing and Implementing City’s Performance Management Programs", Conference, International, Refereed, Accepted. (June 14, 2013).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), 2013 Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, New Orleans, "Theory of Performance: Logic Models and Necessary and Sufficient Causation", Conference, International, Accepted. (March 15, 2013).
Williams, D., Overdraft University Symposia Series, School of Public Affairs and Traveler's Insurance, Baruch College, Engleman Theater, "Hosting and Question and Answers regarding the Federal Deficit and Debt", Other, Local. (February 21, 2013).
Williams, D. (Moderator), Special Event/ Nonprofit Seminar, Baruch Center for Nonprofit Strategy and Management, Baruch College, "Participatory Budgeting in New York City: First Year Experience and Future Prospects", Other, Local. (October 18, 2012).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Onochie, J., Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, New York, "Is There A Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?", Conference, National, Accepted. (October 11, 2012).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), New York City Council Committee on Governmental Operations and Committee on Finance, New York City Council, New York, "Testimony on Mayor's Management Report", Other, Local, Invited. (September 27, 2012).
Williams, D., New York City Council Committee on Governmental Operations and Committee on Finance, New York City Council, New York, "Testimony on Mayor's Management Report", Other, Local. (November 14, 2011).
Williams, D. (Presenter & Author), Calabrese, T. (Presenter & Author), 23rd Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Towards a Metatheory of Budgeting", Conference, International, Accepted. (October 14, 2011).
Williams, D., 22nd Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Omaha, Nebraska, "Forecaster Effect in New York City Revenue Forecasting", National. (October 9, 2010).
Williams, D., First Annual North East Budget and Financial Management Conference, Baruch College and NYU, New York, "Forecaster Effect in NYC Forecasting", Regional. (August 4, 2010).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, San Jose, California, "The Role of Political Theory in Public Administration", National. (April 11, 2010).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, San Jose, California, "Disobeying Orders", National. (April 10, 2010).
Williams, D., Symposium on the Legacy and Contemporary Relevance of Luther Gulick and the IPA, NYU Wagner School, New York, "Public Administration: The First Hundred Hears: The IPA Archive as a Resource for Contemporary Researchers", Regional, Invited. (December 4, 2009).
Williams, D., 21st Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Bias in New York City Revenue Forecasting", National. (September 26, 2009).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Miami, FL., "Performance and American Democracy", National. (March 20, 2009).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC., "Performance Budgeting and Performance Contracting", National. (October 27, 2007).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, Western Social Science Association, Calgary, Canada, "History of Performance Budgeting Old and New", International. (April 14, 2007).
Williams, D., 18th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Atlanta, Georgia, "History of Performance Budgeting Old and New", National. (October 21, 2006).
Williams, D., 18th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Atlanta, Georgia, "Preparing Data for Forecasting", National. (October 21, 2006).
Williams, D., 17th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Street Cleanliness Scorecards: A Qualitative Analysis; A Preliminary Report", National. (November 10, 2005).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, San Antonio, Texas, "Exponentially Weighted Loss Functions", International. (June 14, 2005).
Williams, D., Ormsby, R., Integrating Information Literacy & Communication Skills Across the Curriculum, Learning Goals & Assessment, Baruch College, Baruch College, "Information Literacy Incorporated into a Graduate School of Public Affairs Course: PAF 9010 Ethics and Public Service", Local. (March 11, 2005).
Williams, D., Miller, D., 16th National Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Chicago, "Correcting the Overestimation of Seasonality With Two Common Methods", National. (October 9, 2004).
Williams, D., 65th National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Portland, Oregon, "The Role of the ICMA in Promoting Performance Measurement through ‘Standards’: 1927-1956", National. (March 29, 2004).
Williams, D., 15th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, D. C., "Performance Measurement In the Age of Scientific Management", National. (September 18, 2003).
Williams, D., 97th Annual Conference, Government Financial Officers Association, New York, NY., "Ethics for Government Financial Managers", National, Invited. (May 18, 2003).
Williams, D., Fall Conference, Independent School Placement Alliance/ The Boys’ Club of New York City, Jefferson Park Clubhouse, New York, "Program Evaluation", Local. (October 17, 2002).
Williams, D., Ellis, J. C., 5th Annual Statewide Conference, Alzheimer’s Disease for Health Care Professionals, New Jersey, "Beyond Performance Measurement: Evaluating Outcomes in Dementia Care", State. (April 23, 2002).
Williams, D., 13th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, D.C., "Performance Measurement Before 1927", National. (January 18, 2002).
Miller, D., Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, 2001, International Institute of Forecasters, Callaway Gardens, Pine Mountain, Georgia, "Using Shrinkage to Reduce Overestimation of Seasonal Variation in Census X12 ARIMA", International. (June 19, 2001).
Williams, D., 62nd National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Robeson Campus Center, Rutgers, Newark, NJ, "Productivity Initiatives and Performance Measurement in the Early 20th Century: the Intellectual Roots of Modern Public Administration Practice", National. (March 12, 2001).
Williams, D., Thirty-Second Annual Meeting, Northeastern Political Science Association and International Studies Association, Albany, New York, "An examination of variance between uninsured low income children in 1998 and 1999 enrollment in the State Children’s Health Insurance Program", Regional. (November 12, 2000).
Williams, D., Miller, D. M., International Symposium on Forecasting 2000, International Institute of Forecasting, Lisbon, Portugal, "Analysis of Two Forms of Empirical Bayes Estimation to Reduce Overestimation of Seasonal Variation in Classical Decomposition", International. (June 23, 2000).
Williams, D., 54th Annual Conference, New York State Political Science Association, Hofstra University, Hempstead Long Island, "Productivity Initiatives and Performance Measurement in the Early 20th Century: the Intellectual Roots of Modern Public Administration Practice", Regional. (April 15, 2000).
Williams, D., 1999 Northeast Regional Conference, American Society for Public Administration, John Jay College, New York, New York, "History of Performance Measurement 1900-1927", Regional. (October 29, 1999).
Williams, D., Birdsell, D., 1999 Northeast Regional Conference, American Society for Public Administration, "Adapting the MPA Curriculum to E-Government", Regional. (October 28, 1999).
Williams, D., Annual Conference, North East Political Science Association, Philadelphia, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", Regional. (November 15, 1997).
Williams, D., 9th Annual Conference, Association for Budgeting and Financial Management, Washington, DC, "Medicaid Forecasting Practices", National. (November 8, 1997).
Williams, D., 58th National Conference, American Society for Public Administration, Philadelphia, PA, "An Historic Review: Performance Measurement in PAR", National. (July 28, 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, Bridgetown, Barbados, "Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing: A Method for Judgmentally Adjusting Exponential Smoothing Models for Planned Discontinuities", International. (June 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasting, Bridgetown, Barbados, "The Sources of Variation in Medicaid Forecasting", International. (June 1997).
Williams, D., International Symposium on Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, Toronto, "Adjusting Exponential Smoothing for Intervention", International. (June 5, 1995).